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Trail Blazers lottery odds: What are the chances of landing the No. 1 pick?

Andrew Hanlon
Andrew Hanlon

Rip City Project

Damian Lillard, Portland Trail Blazers, 2022 NBA Draft Lottery, 7th pick Mandatory Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

This is an offseason filled with significant decisions for the Portland Trail Blazers. Trade a number of valuable assets to retool the roster for a title run with Damian Lillard or trade Dame and blow it all up?

At the center of those decisions is Portland’s lottery pick. Head coach Chauncey Billups led a masterful tank job during the final month of the regular season, moving the team from a potential spot in the Western Conference Play-In Tournament to having some of the highest odds of landing the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NBA Draft.

That first overall selection would be a game-changer for the Blazers and might shut down any decisions general manager Joe Cronin needs to make this summer. Taking Victor Wembanyama and adding him to a lineup that already features Lillard, Anfernee Simons, Shaedon Sharpe, and theoretically Jerami Grant would give Dame that playoff push he so desires.

Just how realistic is that scenario?

What are the Trail Blazers odds at landing the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NBA Draft?

Portland has the fifth-best odds at landing the top pick in June’s draft. That equates to a 10.5 percent chance.

The three worst teams by record – this year the Detroit Pistons, San Antonio Spurs, and Houston Rockets – all share an equal 14 percent chance at picking first. Between that trio and the Blazers sits the Charlotte Hornets.

The lottery odds for the 2023 NBA Draft are as follows:

  1. Detroit Pistons
  2. Houston Rockets
  3. San Antonio Spurs
  4. Charlotte Hornets
  5. Portland Trail Blazers
  6. Orlando Magic
  7. Indiana Pacers
  8. Washington Wizards
  9. Utah Jazz
  10. Dallas Mavericks
  11. Chicago Bulls
  12. Oklahoma City Thunder
  13. Toronto Raptors
  14. New Orleans Pelicans

The lottery will be held on Tuesday, May 16, at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Andrew Hanlon

Andrew Hanlon

Andrew is a Site Co-Expert for Pippen Ain't Easy. He earned a degree in Journalism from the University of Wisconsin-Oshkosh and began covering high school sports in 2014. He's covered the NBA since 2021, and his work has been featured on FanSided, SB Nation, Yahoo! Sports, Sportscasting, and GiveMeSport. He’s been in his PAE role since 2024 and previously held the Site Expert position for Rip City Project (Portland Trail Blazers). When he's not writing about, talking about, or watching sports, he can be found playing and coaching them with his five kids.