2015 NBA Playoffs: Trail Blazers’ first round opponent breakdown

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Mar 21, 2015; Memphis, TN, USA; Memphis Grizzlies forward Tony Allen (9) handles the ball against Portland Trail Blazers guard C.J. McCollum (3) g at FedExForum. Memphis Grizzlies beat Portland Trail Blazers 97-86 Mandatory Credit: Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports

The Portland Trail Blazers are going to be the Western Conference fourth seed in the 2015 NBA Playoffs. We are rapidly approaching the mathematical impossibility of anything else. They can still technically climb as high as second, but only technically, and because they are division winners, they cannot fall below fourth. Their shrinking window is 2-4 only.

TEAM RECORD GAMES BEHIND
1. Golden State Warriors 64-15 N/A
2. Memphis Grizzlies 53-25 10.5
3. Houston Rockets 53-25 10.5
4. Portland Trail Blazers 51-28 13
5. Los Angeles Clippers 53-26 11
6. San Antonio Spurs 53-26 11
7. Dallas Mavericks 47-31 16.5
8. New Orleans Pelicans 42-36 21.5
9. Oklahoma City Thunder 42-36 21.5

Think about how unlikely any ascension really is.

In order for Portland to overtake Memphis or Houston, one of them would have to go 1-3 or worse while the Trail Blazers win out (3-0). That is also assuming that neither Los Angeles nor San Antonio finishes 2-1 or better to claim the freshly vacated spot from Portland. The odds of all the cards falling in Portland’s favor are astronomically adverse.

Our attention should no longer be on where the Trail Blazers will finish, but who will finish as the fifth seed. That team will be the Trail Blazers’ first round matchup. By record, it cannot be the Warriors, Mavericks, Pelicans, or Thunder. This leaves…

Next: Potential first round opponent #1