Dec 5, 2012; New Orleans, LA, USA; NBA Commissioner David Stern talks to the media before a game between the New Orleans Hornets and the Los Angeles Lakers at the New Orleans Arena. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

NBA Draft Lottery Today: What you Need to Know

It’s lottery day! Be sure to watch on ESPN at 5:30pm PST if you can. If not, we’ll have the results for you shortly after, right here on Rip City Project. In the meantime, here is everything you need to know about this year’s lottery setup.

The flight of the ping pong balls will be facilitated in a backroom by Commissioner, David Stern. Before the annual conspiracy theorists rear their heads, I should mention that the event will be supervised by representatives from each NBA team, as well as independent auditors.

This process only determines the top 3 picks; the others are determined by the finalized regular season standings. So, in order for the Blazers to move up at all, they would have to receive a top 3 pick. Currently, Portland stands to receive the 10th pick, but they have a 1.6% chance of pulling the 3rd pick, a 1.3% chance of pulling the 2nd pick, and a 1.1% chance of pulling the almighty 1st pick.

The only way they could drop below 10th is if one of the teams that finished with a better record than them lucked into a top 3 pick. However; there is only a shadow of chance for this to happen, as those teams (Philadelphia, Toronto, Dallas, Utah) have even worse odds of jumping the pack.

The lottery never follows the statistics to a T, so prepare for anything to happen. Nevertheless, the odds are as follows:

Orlando (20-62):               25% chance to receive the #1 pick
Charlotte (21-61):            19.9% chance to receive the #1 pick
Cleveland (24-58):           15.6% chance to receive the #1 pick
Phoenix (25-57):               11.9% chance to receive the #1 pick
New Orleans (27-55):     8.8% chance to receive the #1 pick
Sacramento (28-54):       6.3% chance to receive the #1 pick
Detroit (29-53):                 3.6% chance to receive the #1 pick
Washington (29-53):       3.5% chance to receive the #1 pick
Minnesota (31-51):         1.7% chance to receive the #1 pick
Portland (33-49):              1.1% chance to receive the #1 pick
Philadelphia (34-48):       0.8% chance to receive the #1 pick
Toronto (34-48):               0.7% chance to receive the #1 pick
Dallas (41-41):                    0.6% chance to receive the #1 pick
Utah (43-39):                     0.5% chance to receive the #1 pick

While the chance of Portland lucking out big time is staggeringly low, remember that it is not impossible. As detailed by my colleague, Kevin Yeung, Chicago drew the first selection in 2008 when they were projected to pick 9th. They used that pick to draft all-star point guard, Derrick Rose. There is no telling who will land where.

The Blazers will be represented by NBA Rookie of the Year, Damian Lillard. Only 7.5 hours remain until lottery time. The whims of fate shall determine the future of the league’s most desperate franchises. Who will make tonight’s headlines and rock the basketball world?

@davidmackaypdx | @ripcityproject | [email protected]

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